
Their rookies have been mostly excellent, aside from a few hiccups. They’ve done it in a lot of different ways. You can’t just ignore April, but the rest of baseball can’t just ignore what the Giants have done over the last two months. Better than the Braves, better than the Rays and better than any other team you can think of. Since May 1, the Giants have the best record in baseball. They’re sure trending in the right direction. Just look at them playoff odds, though, if you want inspiration. The Padres look completely out of it at the moment, but you know they’re just a couple hot weeks away from being on everyone’s mind again. The Dodgers got a little closer to them over the weekend.
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The Giants took a series from them over the weekend. There’s hot division breath on their ankles, though. Please don’t look up literally any other baseball prediction I’ve made within the last five years, but this one? Heck, yeah. This is my first powers ranking since then, so I get to bring all this up. I used one of my preseason predictions for the Giants to mention that the Diamondbacks were gonna be good. I spent the offseason yelling about how the Diamondbacks were going to be good.

They’re a dangerous team that’s only getting better. If the Orioles make upgrades at the trade deadline, watch out.

Fangraphs still gives the Rays an 82.4 percent chance to win the division, to the Orioles’ 6.7 percent, but the gap currently is just 4.5 games. The latest out of Baltimore is Anthony Santander slugging and stealing homers, Ryan McKenna (the Week 1 goat) walking things off, and prospect Jordan Westburg joining the mix. The O’s arrived sooner than expected, with young position players, a shutdown bullpen, a surprisingly sound rotation and Aaron Hicks (?!) helping Baltimore make up ground on the Rays. I think we should really focus on the fact a lot of smart people were sleeping on the Orioles and not waste time on specifics, like how we had them No. It took a lot of imagination to expect this kind of record heading into July, and they’re imagineering it. The Reds and the Orioles will get a lot of attention when it comes to their current odds versus their preseason odds, but don’t sleep on the Rangers’ growth. I’ll bet if you removed Jacob deGrom from the equation, the odds would have cratered even more. They’re down a deGrom, but still getting outs with just about every reliever and starter they send out there.Ĭheck the gap between the preseason odds and the current odds. Still offering one freaky-hot hitter ( Corey Seager) and several regular-hot hitters (just about everyone else). Somehow, the Rays are on a 108-win pace yet hearing footsteps coming closer. They have pushed their odds of a fifth consecutive playoff berth from “likely” to “veritable lock.” But the bats have cooled considerably, their starting pitchers have been dogged by injuries, and over the last two weeks they went 6-7 against the Athletics, Padres, Orioles and Royals. (They have since gotten Franco back, received good news about McClanahan and notched a series split against the Royals.) The Rays had an incredible first half of the season, climbing from No. The same day the Rays benched AL fWAR leader Wander Franco for not being a model teammate, they lost ace Shane McClanahan to mid-back tightness and also lost to the Royals. Ronald Acuña Jr., running wild again in that series, has a five-game stolen-base streak going. The first-place Braves have won 10 of their last 11 games to maintain a little cushion in the NL East standings, including taking two of three in a tight back-and-forth series in Cincinnati over the weekend. But then those three hitters took off, further bolstering a Braves offense that’s been the best in baseball, by OPS, and leads the majors in homers. 2 in our preseason power rankings, have dealt with injuries to several key pitchers, including starters Max Fried and Kyle Wright, and slow starts from Michael Harris II, Eddie Rosario and Marcell Ozuna. All is according to plan, right? Not exactly. And that’s only the half of it: 81 down, 81 to go.Īll playoff odds are from FanGraphs and are updated through Saturday’s games.Ītlanta entered the season with the best odds of making the playoffs of any team in the majors, and that’s still true today. There are pretenders becoming contenders, perennial playoff teams getting stronger, and preseason favorites falling back in the peloton and fading fast. In this week’s power rankings, Grant Brisbee and Kaitlyn McGrath join the fun as we examine the playoff picture and each team’s postseason chances. Now the Reds are in first place, crowning themselves “America’s Team” and leading the league in vibes. Only the Rockies, Nationals and Athletics had worse odds. It’s a good time to take stock of where we are and how we got here.īefore the season, FanGraphs gave the Reds a 1.7 percent chance of making the playoffs.
